America’s cities are some of its most solidly Democratic areas — but that doesn’t mean they are solidly liberal. Over the past two years, the mayoral elections in our two biggest cities have ...

Includes polls of special elections and runoffs. Excludes polls from pollsters that are banned by FiveThirtyEight, New Hampshire primary polls taken before the Iowa caucuses and other states ...

Longtime readers of FiveThirtyEight are probably familiar with our pollster ratings: letter grades that we assign to pollsters based on their historical accuracy and transparency. Since 2008, we ...

Bally Sports’s parent company may soon go bankrupt, which would throw the TV rights for 14 teams into chaos. For baseball, this could be a crisis or an opportunity. And either way, it has the ...

I’m not that impressed by long-term projections of Democratic doom in the Senate. Mostly that’s because I’m not that impressed by long-term political projections in general. Political ...

It is now been more than a year since the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported the first known case of COVID-19 in the U.S. And a lot has changed since then. There is a vaccine rollout ...

Live election results and coverage of the races in the 2022 Midterm elections that are still too close to call, including the latest updates on the race for control of the U.S. House of ...

How this works: These forecasts are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of ...

Wins above replacement projections are based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances and are scaled to an 82-game regular season. The similarity score is an index measuring how ...

All market ratings are adjusted for projected population growth through 2040. Popularity measured by Google Trends. Sources: Zach Miller, Google Trends, The New York Times, CollegeRaptor.com ...