The odds that the president Donald Trump will cut long-term capital gains taxes this year jumped to 57% on Polymarket, up 17 ...

Bettors on Polymarket and Kalshi slashed their recession outlooks below 50% after the US-China tariff deal was announced over ...

The event throws into question the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over conventional polls.

Odds that the U.S. would plunge into recession in 2025 dipped below 50% on decentralized prediction market Polymarket after ...

Italy’s Pietro Parolin leads odds on the Polymarket and Kalshi betting platforms, while Luis Antonio Tagle of the Philippines ...

A handful of bettors scored massive payouts upon the selection of the new leader of the Catholic Church, Robert Francis ...

One prophetic propositioner pocketed $52,641 in profit off of a $525 papal prediction, according to a Kalshi post on X.

Parolin holds large leads on Polymarket and Kalshi, online betting platforms legally authorized to accept bets in the U.S., with about 70% odds on both platforms to be elected pope. Filipino ...

While they’ve had some successes — notably, they bested traditional polls at predicting Donald Trump’s 2024 election win — the market for betting on the next pope was blindsided by the conclave’s ...

According to the majority of polymarket bettors (98%), the Fed will not change the interest rates. On the other hand, 1.9% of ...

Blockchain-based betting sites Kalshi and Polymarket raked in a whopping $40.4 million in conclave wagers, with most winners scoring on who would walk away a cardinal and very few accurately ...

With Catholic cardinals taking part in a conclave in Rome to pick the next pope, a clear favorite has emerged on global ...