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Bettors on Polymarket and Kalshi slashed their recession outlooks below 50% after the US-China tariff deal was announced over ...
Italy’s Pietro Parolin leads odds on the Polymarket and Kalshi betting platforms, while Luis Antonio Tagle of the Philippines ...
As the papal conclave concluded, bettors around the world to wagered most often on one cardinal to become the next leader of ...
The event throws into question the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over conventional polls.
The conclave has attracted global interest from Catholics and non-Catholics alike — along with tens of millions of dollars’ ...
Betting markets and papal forecasters were wildly off in conclave predictions, with only a few gamblers pulling down big ...
Odds that the U.S. would plunge into recession in 2025 dipped below 50% on decentralized prediction market Polymarket after ...
A frenzy of betting is underway as gamblers try to predict results of the upcoming conclave to pick Pope Francis’ successor.
Following Pope Francis' death in April, people around the world wagered most often on one cardinal to become the next leader ...
He was not viewed as a popular pick on the betting markets either, where Cardinal Pietro Parolin, the Vatican's Secretary of ...
With Catholic cardinals taking part in a conclave in Rome to pick the next pope, a clear favorite has emerged on global ...