The event throws into question the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over conventional polls.

Odds that the U.S. would plunge into recession in 2025 dipped below 50% on decentralized prediction market Polymarket after ...

Bettors on Polymarket and Kalshi slashed their recession outlooks below 50% after the US-China tariff deal was announced over ...

Prediction market company Polymarket handled more than $30 million in trades, while rival firm Kalshi recorded $10.6 million.

There is increasing speculation that capital gains tax could be cut or eliminated completely in 2025 — both federally and at ...

US-China Trade Meeting Sparks Wall Street Optimism Monday, stocks soared on news that the red-hot, escalating trade war ...

One prophetic propositioner pocketed $52,641 in profit off of a $525 papal prediction, according to a Kalshi post on X.

Italy’s Pietro Parolin leads odds on the Polymarket and Kalshi betting platforms, while Luis Antonio Tagle of the Philippines ...

Over $40 million was wagered across two major prediction platforms as users tried to forecast the next leader of the Catholic ...

Online betting-prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi started taking bets on who will succeed Pope Francis within hours of his April 21 death, raking in a combined $17 million and ...

Robert Prevost was a 100-1 long shot at UK sportsbooks last week to be the first American pope and successor to the late Pope ...

Online prediction markets like Kalshi and PolyMarket are letting users wager on who will be the next leader of the Catholic ...