No club has played more matches in European soccer’s top competition without lifting the trophy than Arsenal. But ahead of the semifinals, it’s now a surprise favorite to win the whole thing.

The fight for fourth place has been transformed in Serie A, but it could’ve all been very different, as Juventus go into fourth, Roma catch Lazio in sixth and there are five teams in a three-point radius.

Under Igor Tudor, Juventus had appeared on course to clinch a Champions League place, but their recent loss to Parma has dealt a damaging blow to those hopes. With just a few matches remaining, each one becomes critical,