A common method used in polling is random sampling, in which pollsters "draw a random sample ... outcome of an election, which can often skew in opposite directions. Most polls "report a 95% ...
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Why Truman’s 1948 upset is no template for the 2024 U.S. presidential election, according to the expert who wrote the book on polling failureAs I note in Lost in a Gallup, my book about polling failure in presidential elections, pre-election polls are central to how journalists, and Americans at large, understand the dynamics of ...
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