The broader market would have to cooperate, and the AI narrative would have to return for, NVDA stock to break above $220 this year. Compared to most other AI stocks right now, NVDA is surprisingly the cheapest of the bunch. It trades at 41 times earnings, while historically, it has traded around 52 times earnings at the median.

Investors might be welcoming the apparent delay to any threat of imports of semiconductors from Taiwan, where Nvidia’s most advanced chips are manufactured.