Ajax conceded a 99th-minute equaliser against Groningen on Wednesday which has left their Eredivisie title hopes on the brink in one of the most monumental collapses in football history.

PSV, which hit the 100-goal plateau in league play on Wednesday, has notched a far healthier goal differential than Ajax, with a +62 margin dwarfing its rivals’ +33, Ajax had claimed command over the standings, though, thanks in part to winning both head-to-head battles: first at home in November before stunning PSV 2-0 in Eindhoven on March 30.

In 10,000 simulations by the Opta supercomputer, Ajax won the title 99.3% of the time. But then in just four games, Ajax fell apa